The 0.15% infection fatality rate is not the issue which overloads hospitals though, its
a) the seriously ill for long periods of time blocking beds
b) the medium to seriously ill who need intensive treatments
c) the large number of people with prior conditions exacerbated by Covid......
unless of course you think NHS staff are making it all up to elicit some bizarre sort of sympathy.
The 0.15% is likely attributable to the excellent care and attention of the medical industry, I dread to think what the 0.15% would be if we were less fortunate in the Uk
The study was for the global infection fatality rate at the start of the pandemic with data taken from epicentres.....It’s a GLOBAL not LOCAL infection fatality rate which is 0.03-0.04% for under 70 years... if you actually looked at the data you’d understand that higher income countries naturally have lower mortality rates than lower income countries in general due to facilities, access to health care, infrastructures etc... so 0.15% general global rate, likely lower in the U.K. as it’s in the highest income bracket of countries.
I suggest you’ve not read what I’ve put or the statistics from the BMA report that I quoted called “pressure points in the nhsâ€...
Just incase you missed it here’s some startling snippets...
https://www.bma.org.uk/advice-and-support/nhs-delivery-and-workforce/pressures/pressure-points-in-the-nhsThe BMA estimates that, between April 2020 and March 2021, there were:
3.37 million fewer elective procedures
21.4 million fewer outpatient attendances.
While the overall median waiting time for treatment decreased to 11.6 weeks in March 2021, the total number of patients waiting over 18 weeks for treatment increased again to 1.76 million.
Moreover, the number of patients waiting over one year for treatment hit 436,127 in March and has risen 378-fold since March 2019. This figure has consistently risen since March 2020 and is now the highest it has been since August 2007.
This 14-year high highlights the scale of unmet need in a significant portion of the waiting list, with patients having been de-prioritised for care and experiencing extremely long waits.
This decrease in cancer treatment and screening is unacceptable given the Government’s statements that cancer care would be unaffected during the pandemic.
There is irrefutable evidence that cancer treatment was severely affected during the first peak of COVID-19 hospitalisations. All measures need to be put in place to prevent such large activity drops occurring as we grapple with the larger second peak.
Remind me what is it that we were meant to protect for 3 weeks?? The backlog is astonishing..
Another report:
https://www.bma.org.uk/media/2841/the-hidden-impact-of-covid_web-pdf.pdf“ The COVID-19 outbreak has had a huge impact on core NHS services. In order to free up enough capacity to deal with the initial peak of the pandemic, the NHS was forced to shut down or significantly reduce many areas of non-COVID care during April, May and June 2020.
This, combined with fewer patients seeking care during lockdown, means that there has been a significant drop in elective procedures, urgent cancer referrals, first cancer treatments and outpatient appointments.
The full impact of this drastic reduction in routine NHS care in England is only now emerging. Millions of patients living with health problems (including life-threatening conditions such as cancer) have been affected, with their treatment postponed or cancelled.
And millions of patients will have missed vital opportunities to receive initial assessment and diagnosis for health problems in the first place. This is the hidden impact of the COVID crisis – patient safety is being severely compromised not just by the virus itself, but by the knock-on effects of an unprecedented disruption to NHS services.
The BMA estimates that in April, May and June 2020 in England there were:
– between 1.32 and 1.50 million fewer elective admissions than would usually be expected
– between 2.47 million and 2.60 million fewer first outpatient attendances
– between 274,000 and 286,000 fewer urgent cancer referrals
– between 20,800 and 25,900 fewer patients starting first cancer treatments following a decision to treat
– between 12,000 and 15,000 fewer patients starting first cancer treatments following an urgent GP referral.
This outcome was avoidable. Although a pandemic on the scale of COVID-19 was always likely to cause major disruption to health services, the drastic extent to which the NHS had to shut down routine care is a consequence of over a decade of underinvestment and (in the case of public health and social care) cuts to services. As a result, NHS capacity has lagged behind many other EU countries, including in terms of bed numbers, critical care facilities, workforce numbers (with 10,000 medical vacancies in the NHS in England in 2019) and resources in primary and community care. The NHS was already in crisis before the pandemic hit, as the BMA consistently warned.
We estimate that up to 1.5 million elective procedures have not occurred during the pandemic, leading to a significant worsening of health for many patients whose procedures have been cancelled and a stressful situation for GPs unable to refer their patients on for specialist care.
First outpatient attendances
These attendances are the first time a patient was seen by a consultant. We estimate that up to 2.6 million may have not occurred during the pandemic, indicating a large backlog of increasingly urgent care needs.
Urgent GP cancer referrals
The number of urgent GP cancer referrals is up to 286,000 less than what would be expected during the period. This is due to a combination of patients not presenting and GPs having difficulty referring those who do; many of these untreated and undetected cancers’ prognoses will worsen over time and require more urgent treatment.â€
BMA reports suggesting it not me saying the NHS staff are “making it upâ€. It’s a bit of a pathetic response.I suggest you actually read some of these studies instead of trying to hit me with some narrative when I’ve mentioned nothing to say anybody has been making anything up. I actually try to deal with statistics and facts.. such as my point with the Nightingale facilities yet you fail to give an adequate response to that? What is the point of your response?
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