Okay the Championship is completely bonkers we have 63 points if we run at 2 points a game across the last 13 that would take us to 89 points. Only ourselves and Leeds have run at level of form for any length of time this season. What makes the Division so competitive is that nearly every team even those fairly mediocre teams in the bottom half of the league have run at 1.5 points a game for at least 7 games.
So projecting forward I would be shocked if 3 teams got to 89 points. My gut feel on this is 84/85 points will be enough which is 21 points from an available 39. We could do it with as few as 5 wins 6 draws and 2 defeats, particularly if we avoid defeat against Bristol City, Brentford, Fulham and PNE.
One of the reasons why the total will be relatively low is that the top 7 (on 53 to 63 points as of tonight) is that they play each other which means that they depress each others points totals in the scramble for a play-off spot.
Bristol City play WBA, Fulham Forest and PNE
Leeds play Fulham
Forest play Bristol City PNE and Fulham
Brentford play PNE Fulham and WBA
Fulham PNE, WBA, Leeds, Forest and Brentford
PNE WBA, Fulham Brentford and Forest.
Leeds seem to have the kindest schedule. Our advantage is that we can pick up enough points from teams outside the top 7 (27 to get to 90 points) regardless of results of teams around us aside from Leeds none of the others do.