For what it is worth Fulham are as good as up.
Bournemouth probably should get the runners up spot from their current position and pretty much have a play-off spot locked up. They have a wobble in them but I doubt we will be the beneficiaries.
Okay everything else is up for grabs my view is the line on play-offs will be around 74 points I also suspect that places 3 to 6 won't be covered by much a points total spread. I think pretty much half the division have some sort of shot.
Running through the top half of the division current points totals and points required to hit 74 with current points per game totals and points per game required to 74
(
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rETbps3mmKJ2PcCYkA0sDgyYbYZZioa629LB2138fzM/edit#gid=1121358650)
My view is that the runners can be grouped into 4 categories
PPG to date better than required & Current PPG better than requiredQPR and Middlesbrough
PPG to date better than required but current PPG worse than requiredBlackburn
PPG to date worse than required but current PPG better than requiredSheffield United and Nottingham Forest
PPG to date worse than required & current PPG worse than required.PNE, Luton, WBA, Stoke, Coventry and Huddersfield
I think given both current form and points already accrued QPR and Middlesbrough should be the favourites I would look at Sheffield United and Forest as being next most likely.
I struggle to see more than 1 from the final group breaking into the top 6 their form across the first two thirds of the season isn't good enough nor is their recent form good enough either. Although PNE have been on a good run of form but need to run at 2 points a game to have any chance of making it which is a tall order.
Finally Blackburn are in poor form but if they could recapture their form would have more than a decent shout at making the play-offs.
Basically the chasing group needs to find form now and to this end our game against Blackburn is starting to looking like the first of pivotal moments in the race.
