Sandwell (and indeed much of the West Midlands) will be in tier 3 until the tier system is redundant. Mark my words.
London's case rates are higher, but there would be more people kick off, more people made redundant, and it would complicate MP's lives if they were in tier 3. They can kick us while we're down without anybody causing much of a stink.
I agree with the London-centric approach, no change there though, that's why the new wembley being by the nec was vetoed as all the money is down there.
You are probably right about tier 3 for us all, especially now a date of 2/2/21 (I think) has been mooted to end the tier system in it's entirety.
Cockneys are rioting and protesting too, whist we just seem to accept it. That must sway their thinking too when they think it's "just" another 2 month hit for us. Add to that things like they won Dudley North for the first time in a long time and they don't want to alienate those voters by being seen to support businesses over lives.
If it saves lives then we have to accept these short term restrictions on our freedoms, but I will miss singing sotv in person.