Only a single, fixed camera video evidence for the panel to review. Based on it, I would be very surprised if the panel don’t give J-Rod the benefit of the doubt.
Nobody can say for sure if he meant it, and it is a reasonable assertion to say it was an accident. He hasn’t made an obvious stamping motion and his feet were not planted, instead he was hurdling the defender. I’d be surprised if the red card is upheld.