Really Villa are not out of it yet! There are games between the bottom teams that could well see Villa go down on 40 points!
Sunderland beat Stoke, Wigan beat Swansea (their game in hand). We lose to Norwich, Sunderland draw with Southampton or Southampton win, Newcastle beat QPR. Villa lose to Chelsea. Then last game of season, Sunderland don't matter, Newcastle don't matter! Actually no games matter but when the Villa lose to Wigan.
Villa down? Not inconceivable....