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General Football & Sports / Re: The big sports thread
« on: April 07, 2024, 10:05:11 AM »
It's nearly Masters week! Hurray, contender for the best week of the year. Who's everyone picking?
As has been the case for the last 12 months, LIV make it difficult to make judgements, with stats hard to come by. Last year however proved you can't discount players on the Saudi backed tour as they have too much experience and quality.
The stand out however is world number 1 Scottie Scheffler. He is 4-1 at many bookies, not seen since Woods' pomp. Almost certain to be top 5 and whoever out shoots him probably wins the masters.
My own picks:
Hideki Matsuyama - You can still get him at 25-1, won the Genesis this year (same as Rahm last year) and with formidable form in his last few events. A former winner who knows how to play Augusta, multiple winners are common.
Xander Schauffele - Got him at 22-1 but may be backed in from that mark. Top 10 finishes in 6 of his last 8 this season and top 5 in 3 of the last 4. His numbers are rivalling Scheffler and his Augusta record is similar to those who then go on to win. The only doubt around him is his seeming inability to get it over the line. It feels liks its coming
I had two anti post bets earlier this season, 80-1 on Sahith Theegala, wanted to back him on debut last year due to his perfect Augusta fit, he ended up with a top 10 and I missed out on an each way pay out. I also took Joaquin Neimann at 50-1, his form on LIV, plus the Euro and Asian tours the last 5 months sees 3 wins (just like Rahm last year) plus a host of top 5 finishes. I think this is the week he gets a major top 10 finish or better, although his odds now being in the 20's make him a skinnier bet.
Havent decided on my last bet. Possibly former winner Dustin Johnson who has a win in his last 5 events and with odds of between 35-1 to 33-1, it does feel like good value. Patrick Reed can also be nabbed at long odds (circa 80-1), coming into the tournament with some serious form, despite a top 5 last year and being a former winner before that, Shane Lowry is a bit short off the tea but has an improving Augusta record and is hitting form. I'll make the call tomorrow when the bookies start offering the long extended places.
So who are your picks?
As has been the case for the last 12 months, LIV make it difficult to make judgements, with stats hard to come by. Last year however proved you can't discount players on the Saudi backed tour as they have too much experience and quality.
The stand out however is world number 1 Scottie Scheffler. He is 4-1 at many bookies, not seen since Woods' pomp. Almost certain to be top 5 and whoever out shoots him probably wins the masters.
My own picks:
Hideki Matsuyama - You can still get him at 25-1, won the Genesis this year (same as Rahm last year) and with formidable form in his last few events. A former winner who knows how to play Augusta, multiple winners are common.
Xander Schauffele - Got him at 22-1 but may be backed in from that mark. Top 10 finishes in 6 of his last 8 this season and top 5 in 3 of the last 4. His numbers are rivalling Scheffler and his Augusta record is similar to those who then go on to win. The only doubt around him is his seeming inability to get it over the line. It feels liks its coming
I had two anti post bets earlier this season, 80-1 on Sahith Theegala, wanted to back him on debut last year due to his perfect Augusta fit, he ended up with a top 10 and I missed out on an each way pay out. I also took Joaquin Neimann at 50-1, his form on LIV, plus the Euro and Asian tours the last 5 months sees 3 wins (just like Rahm last year) plus a host of top 5 finishes. I think this is the week he gets a major top 10 finish or better, although his odds now being in the 20's make him a skinnier bet.
Havent decided on my last bet. Possibly former winner Dustin Johnson who has a win in his last 5 events and with odds of between 35-1 to 33-1, it does feel like good value. Patrick Reed can also be nabbed at long odds (circa 80-1), coming into the tournament with some serious form, despite a top 5 last year and being a former winner before that, Shane Lowry is a bit short off the tea but has an improving Augusta record and is hitting form. I'll make the call tomorrow when the bookies start offering the long extended places.
So who are your picks?